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Is there a risk of hematologic malignant neoplasms from abdominopelvic computed tomography (CT) radiation when reverse causation bias is controlled for by defining the reasons for CT scan?
In this nationwide population-based cohort study that included 825 820 patients who underwent appendectomy for acute appendicitis, there was a substantial excess risk of hematologic malignant neoplasms in the CT-exposed group compared with the CT-unexposed group. The carcinogenic risk was most pronounced in patients aged 0 to 15 years.
In this study, perioperative abdominopelvic CT was associated with a higher incidence of hematologic malignant neoplasms.
Whether computed tomography (CT) radiation is truly carcinogenic remains controversial. Large epidemiological studies that purportedly showed an association between CT radiation and carcinogenesis were limited by confounding by indication and reverse causation, because the reasons for CT examination were unknown.
To measure the risk of hematologic malignant neoplasms associated with perioperative abdominopelvic CT radiation among patients who underwent appendectomy for acute appendicitis.
Design, Setting, and Participants
This nationwide population-based cohort study used the National Health Insurance Service claims database in South Korea to assess 825 820 patients who underwent appendectomy for appendicitis from January 1, 2005, to December 31, 2015, and had no underlying risk factors for cancer. Patients were divided into CT-exposed (n = 306 727) or CT-unexposed (n = 519 093) groups. The study was terminated on December 31, 2017, and data were analyzed from October 30, 2018, to September 27, 2020.
Perioperative abdominopelvic CT examination from 7 days before to 7 days after appendectomy.
Main Outcomes and Measures
The primary outcome was the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of hematologic malignant neoplasms for both groups. The secondary outcomes were IRR of abdominopelvic organ cancers and IRR of all cancers. The lag period was 2 years for the primary outcome and 5 years for secondary outcomes. The IRRs were calculated using Poisson regression models with adjustment for age and sex.
Among the study population of 825 820 patients (52.9% male; median age, 28 [interquartile range, 15-41] years), hematologic malignant neoplasms developed in 323 patients in the CT-exposed group during 1 486 518 person-years and 500 patients in the CT-unexposed group during 3 422 059 person-years. For all hematologic malignant neoplasms, the IRR for the CT-exposed vs CT-unexposed group was 1.26 (95% CI, 1.09-1.45; P = .002). In terms of individual categories of hematologic malignant neoplasms, the CT-exposed group had an elevated risk only for leukemia (IRR, 1.40 [98.75% CI, 1.04-1.87, adjusted by Bonferroni correction]; P = .005). There was no between-group difference in incidence rate of abdominopelvic organ cancers (IRR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.00-1.15]; P = .06) and that of all cancers (IRR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.99-1.09]; P = .14).
Conclusions and Relevance
This study controlled for reverse causation bias by defining the reasons for CT scan, and findings suggest that abdominopelvic CT radiation is associated with a higher incidence of hematologic malignant neoplasms. Efforts should be continued for judicious use of CT examinations.
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Accepted for Publication: November 7, 2020.
Published Online: January 20, 2021. doi:10.1001/jamasurg.2020.6357
Corresponding Author: Ji Hoon Park, MD, PhD, Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, 82, Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do 13620, Korea (firstname.lastname@example.org).
Author Contributions: Dr Kyung Hee Lee and Mr Seungjae Lee contributed equally as co–first authors. Dr Park had full access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
Concept and design: Kyung Hee Lee, S. Lee, Park, Kyoung Ho Lee.
Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Kyung Hee Lee, S. Lee, Park, S. S. Lee, H. Kim, W. J. Lee, Cha, K. Kim, W. Lee, J. Y. Lee.
Drafting of the manuscript: Kyung Hee Lee, Park, S. S. Lee, H. Kim, K. Kim.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Kyung Hee Lee, S. Lee, Park, W. J. Lee, Cha, W. Lee, J. Y. Lee, Kyoung Ho Lee.
Statistical analysis: Kyung Hee Lee, S. Lee, Park, S. S. Lee, K. Kim, W. Lee.
Obtained funding: Park.
Administrative, technical, or material support: Park.
Supervision: Kyung Hee Lee, S. Lee, Park, W. J. Lee, J. Y. Lee.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Kyung Hee Lee reported receiving grants from the National Research Foundation of Korea funded by the Korea government outside the submitted work. Dr Park reported receiving grants from the Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea funded by the Ministry of Education and Seoul National University Bundang Hospital Research Fund. No other disclosures were reported.
Funding/Support: This research was supported by grant NRF-2018R1D1A1B07050976 for the Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea from the Ministry of Education and grant 14-2018-008 from the Seoul National University Bundang Hospital Research Fund.
Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The sponsors had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
Additional Contributions: Choonsik Lee, PhD, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, provided advice in improving the manuscript, for which he was not compensated.
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