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Association of the COVID-19 Pandemic With Estimated Life Expectancy by Race/Ethnicity in the United States, 2020

Educational Objective
To identify the key insights or developments described in this article
1 Credit CME

In October 2020, we estimated the impact of COVID-19 on 2020 period life expectancy at birth in the US by race/ethnicity using observed COVID-19 deaths from February 1, 2020, to October 3, 2020, and projected COVID-19 deaths through the remainder of 2020 under 3 scenarios (low, medium, and high COVID-19 mortality).1 Under the medium scenario, we projected a decline in 2020 US life expectancy of 1.13 years for the total population, 0.68 years for the White population, 2.10 years for the Black population, and 3.05 years for the Latino population.1 This study updates these estimates with observed deaths for all of 2020 and more recent prepandemic mortality conditions.

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CME Disclosure Statement: Unless noted, all individuals in control of content reported no relevant financial relationships. If applicable, all relevant financial relationships have been mitigated.

Article Information

Accepted for Publication: April 18, 2021.

Published: June 24, 2021. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.14520

Open Access: This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC-BY License. © 2021 Andrasfay T et al. JAMA Network Open.

Corresponding Author: Theresa Andrasfay, PhD, Leonard Davis School of Gerontology, University of Southern California, 3715 McClintock Ave, Los Angeles, CA 90089 (andrasfa@usc.edu).

Author Contributions: Dr Andrasfay had full access to all of the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.

Concept and design: Both authors.

Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Both authors.

Drafting of the manuscript: Both authors.

Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Both authors.

Statistical analysis: Both authors.

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: None reported.

Funding/Support: This research was supported by the National Institute on Aging (grant No. T32AG000037).

Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The funder had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

AMA CME Accreditation Information

Credit Designation Statement: The American Medical Association designates this Journal-based CME activity activity for a maximum of 1.00  AMA PRA Category 1 Credit(s)™. Physicians should claim only the credit commensurate with the extent of their participation in the activity.

Successful completion of this CME activity, which includes participation in the evaluation component, enables the participant to earn up to:

  • 1.00 Medical Knowledge MOC points in the American Board of Internal Medicine's (ABIM) Maintenance of Certification (MOC) program;;
  • 1.00 Self-Assessment points in the American Board of Otolaryngology – Head and Neck Surgery’s (ABOHNS) Continuing Certification program;
  • 1.00 MOC points in the American Board of Pediatrics’ (ABP) Maintenance of Certification (MOC) program;
  • 1.00 Lifelong Learning points in the American Board of Pathology’s (ABPath) Continuing Certification program; and
  • 1.00 credit toward the CME [and Self-Assessment requirements] of the American Board of Surgery’s Continuous Certification program

It is the CME activity provider's responsibility to submit participant completion information to ACCME for the purpose of granting MOC credit.

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